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Author Topic: Predictions  (Read 1774 times)

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stevens

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Predictions
« on: September 23, 2021, 12:21:03 PM »

2035 growth plate implant (alternative to LL without side effects but you still need to use the metal fixators)
2042- AI with the same level of intelligence as a human
2042-longevity escape velocity for billionaires
2050- transdifferentiation of bone to hyaline cartilage (growth plate) with nanobots to grow proportionally and in a non-invasive way
2050- affordable hyper realistic human-like female robots
2065-singularity
2075-2080 affordable anti aging.
I don't think we would see reverse aging until the next century or it may come faster thanks to the singularity.
I say 2065 for the singularity because ray kurzweil was wrong about the technologies increasing in speed every 12 moths, it is really every 18 months.
For example he predicted self-driving cars by 2010 but they will come by 2025-2030. You just have to multiply Kurzweil predictions time differences from 2005 by 1.5x.
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ilovescience

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #1 on: September 23, 2021, 12:25:04 PM »

2035 growth plate implant (alternative to LL without side effects but you still need to use the metal fixators)
2042- AI with the same level of intelligence as a human
2042-longevity escape velocity for billionaires
2050- transdifferentiation of bone to hyaline cartilage (growth plate) with nanobots to grow proportionally and in a non-invasive way
2050- affordable hyper realistic human-like female robots
2065-singularity
2075-2080 affordable anti aging.
I don't think we would see reverse aging until the next century or it may come faster thanks to the singularity.
I say 2065 for the singularity because ray kurzweil was wrong about the technologies increasing in speed every 12 moths, it is really every 18 months.
For example he predicted self-driving cars by 2010 but they will come by 2025-2030. You just have to multiply Kurzweil predictions time differences from 2005 by 1.5x.

Altos is doing antiaging, I think related medicines may come sooner. I think reopening growth plates and curing cancer may become a reality in a few decades.
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HateLAPELoveSTEM

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #2 on: September 23, 2021, 12:48:28 PM »

I think they would be much more expensive than even LL so let's forget about new techniques in the future.
Also,it won't be a bad choice to move out for Canada and European countries if you want to be showered with a surrounding lack of height discriminations
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stevens

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #3 on: September 23, 2021, 01:20:52 PM »

I think that the ani aging will take more than you think. And about the cost of the growth plate implant, i think it may be cheaper because it is an easier procedure to do.
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ilovescience

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #4 on: September 23, 2021, 02:04:01 PM »

I think that the ani aging will take more than you think. And about the cost of the growth plate implant, i think it may be cheaper because it is an easier procedure to do.

antiaging, you mean like medicine that make us stay young?
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Exxon

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #5 on: September 23, 2021, 02:08:33 PM »

Not to be too explicit or anything but I think someone will make a robot that you can have sex with anytime you want at around the year 2040.
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ilovescience

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #6 on: September 23, 2021, 02:25:47 PM »

Not to be too explicit or anything but I think someone will make a robot that you can have sxx with anytime you want at around the year 2040.

That stuff already existed in Japan
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stevens

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #7 on: September 23, 2021, 03:17:43 PM »

For those robots AI is the problem. It will be easier to make them look like humans but ai is hard. That's why it will take so long
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Exxon

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #8 on: September 23, 2021, 03:32:12 PM »

That stuff already existed in Japan

Lol seriously? Damn that's progress
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ilovescience

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #9 on: September 23, 2021, 09:21:19 PM »

Lol seriously? Damn that's progress

Well yeah, Seems like that thing getting popular for a reason.
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stevens

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #10 on: September 24, 2021, 12:21:20 AM »

I wanted to say self driving cars in 2020 is what he predicted. My error
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ilovescience

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #11 on: September 24, 2021, 01:00:07 AM »

I wanted to say self driving cars in 2020 is what he predicted. My error

That already exists, does it? In National Defense and Security Research.
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stevens

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #12 on: September 24, 2021, 11:06:15 AM »

I was talking about everyone in earth having one of those
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ilovescience

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #13 on: September 25, 2021, 06:30:29 PM »

I was talking about everyone in earth having one of those

I think everyone having self driving cars may not take tok long as most cars sold today already equipped with LCD and google maps.
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DonBones

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #14 on: September 25, 2021, 07:51:13 PM »

Not to be too explicit or anything but I think someone will make a robot that you can have sxx with anytime you want at around the year 2040.

At which point height will become irrelevant, assuming the robot is hot ;)
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First Surgery - Prof Betz - 28th July 2021 🇩🇪
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ilovescience

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #15 on: September 25, 2021, 07:58:09 PM »

At which point height will become irrelevant, assuming the robot is hot ;)

Speaking of robots, do you think we may see half robot and half human this century during our lifetime?
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Exxon

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #16 on: September 26, 2021, 04:01:53 PM »

At which point height will become irrelevant, assuming the robot is hot ;)


HAHAHAHAHA   :D. Maybe that can cure height dysphoria for a huge chunk of patients.
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ilovescience

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #17 on: September 27, 2021, 03:26:27 PM »


HAHAHAHAHA   :D. Maybe that can cure height dysphoria for a huge chunk of patients.

A safer, more innovative LL surgery may be more helpful to cure height dysphoria in some.
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ilovescience

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #18 on: October 02, 2021, 04:11:49 AM »

For those robots AI is the problem. It will be easier to make them look like humans but ai is hard. That's why it will take so long

Actually our understanding of AI has jumped significantly over the past 7 years. Our smartphones already being supported by AI. Bixby, for example.
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ilovescience

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #19 on: October 02, 2021, 04:13:19 AM »

2035 growth plate implant (alternative to LL without side effects but you still need to use the metal fixators)
2042- AI with the same level of intelligence as a human
2042-longevity escape velocity for billionaires
2050- transdifferentiation of bone to hyaline cartilage (growth plate) with nanobots to grow proportionally and in a non-invasive way
2050- affordable hyper realistic human-like female robots
2065-singularity
2075-2080 affordable anti aging.
I don't think we would see reverse aging until the next century or it may come faster thanks to the singularity.
I say 2065 for the singularity because ray kurzweil was wrong about the technologies increasing in speed every 12 moths, it is really every 18 months.
For example he predicted self-driving cars by 2010 but they will come by 2025-2030. You just have to multiply Kurzweil predictions time differences from 2005 by 1.5x.

I hope the affordable antiaging could come sooner than 2070. Maybe around this mid century it will be available to the 70 percent of the world's population, just like COVID vaccination is available to almost everyone now.
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stevens

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #20 on: October 02, 2021, 04:34:24 AM »

to be honest my new prediction is that nanobots will have affordable reverse aging by 2045.
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stevens

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #21 on: October 02, 2021, 04:35:21 AM »

we still need to undestand how our brain works for that type of social AI
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stevens

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #22 on: October 02, 2021, 04:39:04 AM »

well i think that there is a possibility to get a humanoid robot that looks like us by 2038. My new theory is 2045 for the social AI to be perfected.
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ilovescience

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #23 on: October 02, 2021, 05:01:59 AM »

to be honest my new prediction is that nanobots will have affordable reverse aging by 2045.

Is nanobots available now in some hospitals?
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ilovescience

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #24 on: October 02, 2021, 06:49:26 AM »

well i think that there is a possibility to get a humanoid robot that looks like us by 2038. My new theory is 2045 for the social AI to be perfected.

That kinda reminds me of a game " Detroit: Become Human."
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Medium Drink Of Water

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #25 on: October 02, 2021, 04:19:04 PM »

Is nanobots available now in some hospitals?

There are no nanobots anywhere.  For 40 years they've been in development but nobody can figure out how to make them.  You can't build them like a normal robot because they're too small; getting a few atoms to stick together like that has to be done though chemistry.  Read what Richard Smalley has to say about them.
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ilovescience

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #26 on: October 02, 2021, 07:17:45 PM »

There are no nanobots anywhere.  For 40 years they've been in development but nobody can figure out how to make them.  You can't build them like a normal robot because they're too small; getting a few atoms to stick together like that has to be done though chemistry.  Read what Richard Smalley has to say about them.

If we wanted to help humanity reach some dream like antiaging, would we need nanobots do the job?

And if we mastered nanobots, would they help a lot to people wanting LL?
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Medium Drink Of Water

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #27 on: October 03, 2021, 12:14:30 AM »

If we wanted to help humanity reach some dream like antiaging, would we need nanobots do the job?

I don't know.  The problem with aging is nobody has a complete understanding of what it even is.  Without knowing what the problem is it's difficult to guess what the solution would be.

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And if we mastered nanobots, would they help a lot to people wanting LL?

Yes and no.  They would help anyone do anything; LL would become irrelevant.  Mastery of molecular assembly would be a bigger change to life on planet earth than the meteor that wiped out the dinosaurs, and that is not an exaggeration.  It would allow for godlike power over matter from the subatomic level to solar system level.  By itself it wouldn't be enough for us to to do anything interstellar and beyond, or give us a better understanding of what lies at the submolecular level of matter.  Although that last part might be needed to perform molecular assembly in the first place.
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ilovescience

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #28 on: October 03, 2021, 01:05:08 AM »

I don't know.  The problem with aging is nobody has a complete understanding of what it even is.  Without knowing what the problem is it's difficult to guess what the solution would be.

Yes and no.  They would help anyone do anything; LL would become irrelevant.  Mastery of molecular assembly would be a bigger change to life on planet earth than the meteor that wiped out the dinosaurs, and that is not an exaggeration.  It would allow for godlike power over matter from the subatomic level to solar system level.  By itself it wouldn't be enough for us to to do anything interstellar and beyond, or give us a better understanding of what lies at the submolecular level of matter.  Although that last part might be needed to perform molecular assembly in the first place.

Guess we still have a long way to go before we conquer aging. We conquered height last century, before that people thought once a person done growing taller, that's it. But we were able to change so shorter could have a second chance of growing. Probably we'll be able to conquer aging this century.
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stevens

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #29 on: October 04, 2021, 04:13:59 AM »

by the way i love science. detroit become humans, the whole game has a secret ending where they show that Kamski (creator of the androids) created the deviants and that they had no autonomy.
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ilovescience

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Re: Predictions
« Reply #30 on: October 04, 2021, 04:21:05 AM »

by the way i love science. detroit become humans, the whole game has a secret ending where they show that Kamski (creator of the androids) created the deviants and that they had no autonomy.
Are you referring to this ending?

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