I think we will see new highs in the 4Q2016.
The sentiment is very negative in the managers, but FED,BOJ,BOE is doing FOMO injected liquidity and stocks rebounded rapidly.
Dont fight against FED.
Probably right about quarter 4 going up, which means I am selling before the top. However, this is an election year, and I expect Trump to win.
If Trump wins, there will likely be a stop to, or decline in, injected liquidity from the Fed. This "should" put a stop to the anxiety investing and cause the market to drop. Additionally, I expect that bank reserve regulations should become more lenient, which would cause the banks to start lending some of that massive reserve capital that they currently hold. (again, assuming Trump)
If that happens, I expect large inflation rates for the US dollar to follow. So I've pulled that stock market money and put it into real estate. (both real property and REIT's), so to catch that value increase. Rents should follow inflation, more or less, and therefore pay down the properties debt load faster. Additionally, I catch commercial interest rates that are lower, as I expect the prime rate to increase due to increased lending and the Fed. Residential rental demand typically increases in a recession, so rental properties are as "recession proof" as you can hope for, assuming where you do business doesn't end up like Detroit.
The challenge at that point would be to sell the properties at the inflated price, and reenter the stock market after it drops. Easier said than done of course.
If Hillary wins, then who knows...